Michael Marsh

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Michael Marsh

Emeritus Professor, Trinity College Dublin.

Emeritus Professor, Trinity College Dublin.

Poll of polls suggests lead for FF over FG

The three polls taken this month, the last two since the election was called, provides the basis for this update. All three agreed in suggesting a decline in Fine Gael support, leaving it clearly behind Fianna Fáil, and an upsurge in support for Sinn Féin.
Election 2020 • 27 Jan 20

Poll of polls: Fluctuation but little real change

Election 2020 • 14 Jan 20

Why exit polls always come with health warnings

Analysis and Comment • 28 May 19

Growing voter instability and female solidarity

The major trends evident from Election 2019 are increased instability and the success of female candidates in the European elections
Elections 2019 • 26 May 19

Do voters care about European candidates' gender?

Analysis of European election results shows a fairly consistent, if small, difference between choices made by men and women.
Elections 2019 • 25 May 19

EU Elections: More influenced by big names or parties?

Local TDs are judged by many voters on their ability to do things for their area, and it would be surprising if MEPs were not often assessed in a similar way.
Elections 2019 • 19 May 19

'EU candidate polls come with major health warnings'

This week we saw the first candidate poll for the European Parliament elections, but at such an early stage in the campaign there is still everything to play for, writes Michael Marsh.
Elections 2019 • 13 May 19

Looking back at 2014: The unfaithful voter

A long time ago in (what might seem like) a country far, far away, an RTÉ current affairs programme found the presenter on a hilltop with a local politician, who was able to identify all the households in view as Fianna Fáil, or (less commonly) Fine Gael.
Elections 2019 • 05 May 19

Poll of polls: Three years into 'new politics'

Our Government, complete with "new politics", has now been in existence for just short of three years.
Elections 2019 • 29 Apr 19

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