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Exports 'one ray of light' - economist

Unemployment - Emigration to help limit rate, says economist
Unemployment - Emigration to help limit rate, says economist

A report by Bloxham Stockbrokers says it is difficult to see a pick-up in domestic demand next year, with the Budget planning to take €6 billion out of the economy.

Economist Alan McQuaid is predicting GDP growth of just under 1.5% next year, mainly due to strong growth in exports, which he describes as the 'one ray of light' in a gloomy economic picture.

His report says growth in the UK and US should be reasonable enough to boost demand for Irish exports, while he also expects a stronger dollar and sterling to help indigenous exporters.

But Mr McQuaid expects personal spending and investment to both fall for the fourth year in a row in 2011. He also expects the jobless rate to remain high next year, though he adds that emigration will help keep the rate below 14%.