Bundee Aki will learn his World Cup fate later this morning and Donal Lenihan believes the authorities are likely to side with the red card decision made by referee Nic Berry at the weekend.
The 29-year-old was sent off for a high tackle on UJ Seuteni in Ireland's 47-5 win over Samoa, and faces a disciplinary hearing at 11.30am (Irish time).
Ireland boss Joe Schmidt said Aki was "devastated" to have been sent off against his fatherland at the weekend and RTÉ rugby analyst Lenihan says the centre is unlikely to see his red card offence reduced.
"It's a very difficult one," he told RTÉ Radio 1's Morning Ireland. "I felt at the time that there were some mitigating circumstances in terms of the Samoan out-half, that he was dipping into the tackle.
"Since then, the Irish management has forensically gone through video footage of it. They have timed his reaction in making the tackle at 0.2 of a second.
I think he'll be lucky if they do rescind it
"There has been so much criticism of referees during the tournament, and World Rugby have thrown the officials under the bus so often, I’m not sure they are prepared to do it again and admit it could have been a yellow card offence.
"I think he’ll be lucky if they do rescind it, but they are right to go through the process."
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