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West Belfast - a sure bet for Sinn Féin again

The Sinn Féin candidate is the incumbent Paul Maskey, who won it in 2019
The Sinn Féin candidate is the incumbent Paul Maskey, who won it in 2019

Sinn Féin has held this seat since 1992 and more than three decades on it will do so again.

West Belfast takes in the nationalist and unionist heartlands of the Falls Road and the Shankill Road, but nationalism dominates when the wider constituency is considered.

The Sinn Féin candidate is the incumbent Paul Maskey, who won it in 2019 with an over 14,000 majority.

It is a measure of Sinn Féin's eclipsing of the SDLP in this constituency that the party of John Hume and Seamus Mallon lies fourth here.

In second place, although way back, is People Before Profit which has elected an MLA from this constituency to Stormont in recent years.

The DUP lies third.

Sinn Féin holds the other four assembly seats.

Boundary changes will see thousands of new voters added to the constituency.

The newly added areas will favour unionism, but it will not have any major impact on the eventual outcome.

It might see the Sinn Féin majority dip a bit, but Mr Maskey will be re-elected.

The interest of the others will be in watching their vote share to see what it might mean at future Assembly elections.


2019 General Election:

Valid votes: 38,782

Turnout: 59.39%

Sinn Féin: 20,866

PBP: 6,194

DUP: 5,220

SDLP: 2,985

Alliance: 1,882

Aontú: 1,635


2024 Candidates:

Gerry Carroll - People Before Profit

Paul Doherty - SDLP

Gerard Herdman - Aontú

Ash Jones - Green Party Northern Ireland

Tony Mallon - Independent

Paul Maskey - Sinn Féin

Ann McClure - TUV

Frank McCoubrey - DUP

Eóin Millar - Alliance

Ben Sharkey - UUP