Exit poll suggests General Election 2024 too close to call

A new exit poll suggests that Fine Gael and Sinn Féin are virtually tied when it comes to first preference votes with Fianna Fáil slightly further back, making the result of General Election 2024 too close to call.

The exit poll, carried out by Ipsos Behaviour and Attitudes for RTÉ, The Irish Times, TG4 and Trinity College Dublin, indicates all three parties are separated by just 1.6% with the margin of error 1.4%.

Fine Gael are on 21%; Fianna Fáil secured 19.5%; while Sinn Féin obtained 21.1%.

The exit poll is based on 5,018 completed interviews conducted immediately after people voted at polling stations in 43 constituencies across the country.

It indicates Green Party first preference support stands at 4%; Labour at 5%; the Social Democrats at 5.8%; Aontú at 3.6%; People Before Profit-Solidarity at 3.1%; and Independents at 12.7%, Independent Ireland 2.2% with others on 1.9%.

In the 2020 general election, Sinn Féin obtained 24.53% first preference votes. Fianna Fáil secured 22.18% while Fine Gael took 20.86%.

The first preference vote of both Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil is suggested by this poll to stand at 40.5% which is lower than the 43% they polled in the 2020 General Election.

Three polls over the past week suggested that the 3 largest parties were running neck-and-neck, and this Exit Poll appears to confirm that position.