skip to main content

Substantial lead for Connolly in Áras race, poll suggests

The survey puts Catherine Connolly's support at 36%
The survey puts Catherine Connolly's support at 36%

Independent candidate Catherine Connolly has a substantial lead in the Presidential Election, a new Business Post/Red C poll suggests.

The survey puts Ms Connolly's support at 36%.

Fine Gael candidate Heather Humphreys is at 25% support.

Jim Gavin, who pulled out of the election last Sunday, but whose name remains on the ballot paper, is at 12% and a substantial 27% remain undecided.

When Mr Gavin's first preferences are redistributed based on second preference patterns, Connolly’s support rises to 39%, while Humphreys' increases to 31%.

The remaining 30% either remain undecided or give non-transferable preferences.

The margin of error in the poll is +/-3%.

The online survey of 1,001 people was conducted on the dates between 2 to 7 October.

This is significant as Jim Gavin withdrew from the contest on the late evening of Sunday, 5 October.