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Banking stocks fall despite relief over Credit Suisse deal

The Swiss banking marriage is backed by a massive government guarantee
The Swiss banking marriage is backed by a massive government guarantee

Banking stocks tumbled this morning as initial relief over a historic state-backed rescue of troubled lender Credit Suisse by Swiss rival UBS Group gave way to new worries about the risks of high-yield debt issued by big banks.

In a package orchestrated by Swiss regulators yesterday, UBS Group will pay 3 billion Swiss francs (€3.04bn) for 167-year-old Credit Suisse Group and assume up to €5.08bn in losses.

Major central banks, faced with the risk of a fast-moving loss of confidence in the financial system, also scrambled to bolster the flow of cash around the world with a series of coordinated currency swaps to ensure banks have the dollars needed to operate.

While those developments appeared to shore up investor confidence in early Asian trade, the rally quickly evaporated as focus shifted to the massive hit some Credit Suisse bondholders would take under the UBS acquisition.

Under the deal, the Swiss regulator decided that Credit Suisse additional tier-1 bonds - or AT1 bonds - with a notional value of $17bn will be valued at zero, angering some of the holders of the debt who thought they would be better protected than shareholders in the takeover deal announced yesterday.

Worries about what that might mean for holders of AT1 bonds issued by other banks added to persistent anxiety about a range of other risks including contagion, the fragile state of US regional banks and moral hazard.

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The shotgun Swiss banking marriage is backed by a massive government guarantee, helping prevent what would have been one of the largest banking collapses since the fall of Lehman Brothers in 2008.

Pressure on UBS helped seal the deal.

"It's a historic day in Switzerland, and a day frankly, we hoped, would not come," UBS Chairman Colm Kelleher - a Cork native - told analysts on a conference call.

UBS Chairman Colm Kelleher

"I would like to make it clear that while we did not initiate discussions, we believe that this transaction is financially attractive for UBS shareholders," Mr Kelleher said.

UBS CEO Ralph Hamers said there were still many details to be worked through.

"I know that there must be still questions that we have not been able to answer," he said. "And I understand that and I even want to apologise for it."

In a global response not seen since the height of the pandemic, the US Fed said it had joined central banks in Canada, England, Japan, the EU and Switzerland in a co-ordinated action to enhance market liquidity.

The European Central Bank vowed to support eurozone banks with loans if needed, adding the Swiss rescue of Credit Suisse was "instrumental" in restoring calm.

This morning, Credit Suisse's banking operations appeared to be business as usual at its major offices in Asia.

Monetary authorities in Singapore and Hong Kong, where Credit Suisse hosts large regional offices, separately said the Swiss bank's business continued without interruption.

And Credit Suisse urged its staff to go to work, according to a memo to staff seen by Reuters.

Problems remain in the US banking sector, where bank stocks remained under pressure despite a move by several large banks to deposit $30bn into First Republic Bank, an institution rocked by the failures of Silicon Valley and Signature Bank.

First Republic yesterday saw its credit ratings downgraded deeper into junk status by S&P Global, which said the deposit infusion may not solve its liquidity problems.

There are also concerns about what happens next at Credit Suisse and what that means for investors, clients and employees.

In the memo to employees, Credit Suisse said that once the takeover is complete wealth management clients may want to consider moving some assets to another bank if concentration was a concern.

The deal will also make UBS Switzerland's only global bank and the Swiss economy more dependent on a single lender.

"The Credit Suisse debacle will have serious ramifications for other Swiss financial institutions. A country-wide reputation with prudent financial management, sound regulatory oversight, and, frankly, for being somewhat dour and boring regarding investments, has been wiped away," said Octavio Marenzi, CEO of Opimas, in Vienna.

UBS chairman Kelleher told a media conference that it will wind down Credit Suisse's investment bank, which has thousands of employees worldwide.

UBS said it expected annual cost savings of $7 billion by 2027.

The Swiss central bank said yesterday's deal includes 100 billion Swiss francs in liquidity assistance for UBS and Credit Suisse.

Credit Suisse shares lost a quarter of their value last week.

The bank was forced to tap $54 billion in central bank funding as it tried to recover from scandals that undermined confidence.