This latest update incorporates The Sun/RED C poll released on 16 February, for which polling was carried out on 11-15 February but ended before the RTÉ leaders' debate.

This poll showed another two-point decline in support for Fine Gael, following the two-point decline in the previous RED C poll.

The impact of this on the Poll of Polls remains modest, but the succession of recent polls has left FG now just under 28.5%, down from its peak of 31% last month.

More importantly perhaps, with just ten days to go, the trend over the last months is now downwards.

Labour is still static around 8%, and Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin also show no sign of making headway: if anything, the reverse is true. The action seems to be elsewhere.

Previous Poll of Poll Updates

Initial Poll of Polls

19 January: No appreciable change

30 January: FG, Labour continue to rise

4 February: Has the rise in Fine Gael's fortunes been halted?

8 February: Poll of Polls suggests FG and Labour to fall just short

10 February: Slight gains for Fianna Fáil & Sinn Féin in latest Poll of Polls

13 February: Poll of Polls update: FF, SF neck and neck


By Michael Marsh, Emeritus Professor, Trinity College Dublin

Read more from Prof Marsh here