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Kimi Antonelli to serve as the Mercedes underling - but for how long?

Mercedes' Italian driver Kimi Antonelli (L) celebrates winning the pole position with second-placed Mercedes' British driver George Russell after the qualifying session ahead of the Formula One Chinese Grand Prix at the Shanghai International Circuit in S
Kimi Antonelli could overtake George Russell (r) as Mercedes' number one snooner rather than later

Andrea Kimi Antonelli is a breath of fresh air in the Formula One paddock.

While his Mercedes team-mate George Russell is generally perceived as the team's number one driver and their main contender for this year’s drivers’ championship, it would not be surprising if the balance of power on the other side of the Mercedes garage shifted towards the young Italian at some point during the season.

"He looks fast." It’s a phrase you hear often in motorsport circles when a driver is clearly displaying natural speed behind the wheel. It may sound obvious, but it’s not quite as simple as it appears.

In Formula One, the margins between drivers are measured in tenths of a second.

The differences in pace from lap to lap can be so small that they are almost imperceptible. Most drivers operate within those margins. But then there are the exceptional ones — the drivers who seem to possess an innate ability to extract something extra from the car.

Those drivers appear to have natural speed as part of their genetic make-up. Antonelli looks very much like he belongs in that category.

Back in the early 2000s I travelled to the Oulton Park circuit to watch a young Irish driver competing for the progressive UK-based Irish team Sweeney Racing. The race was already under way when I arrived.

At the time, Formula 3 was a breeding ground for aspiring top drivers. Winning races would be enough to put a young racer firmly on the radar of teams further up the motorsport ladder, including those in Formula One.

Before I had positively located the Sweeney Racing car, my attention was drawn to a machine towards the back of the field that was clearly moving faster than the cars around it. The driver was weaving his way through traffic with ease, carving through the tail end of a large grid.

3 May 2009; Ireland�s Adam Carroll celebrates on the podium after winning the A1GP Brands Hatch Feature race and the A1GP World Cup of Motorsport Championship. A1GP Final Round, Brand�s Hatch, Fawkham, Longfield, Kent, England. Picture credit; A1GP.com / SPORTSFILE
Adam Carroll

That driver was Adam Carroll. The only reason he was fighting his way through the back markers was because of a qualifying penalty.

But even from a distance you could see it — the raw speed, the natural talent. Carroll would go on to win the A1 Grand Prix championship with Team Ireland and enjoy a successful international career.

Motorsport has a way of revealing exceptional talent early, and Kimi Antonelli’s rapid rise to Formula One at such a young age suggests that the paddock and Toto Wolff in particular, has recognised something special in the 19-year-old.

It did not go unnoticed last season that world champion Max Verstappen often sought out the young Italian’s company. While Antonelli has an instantly likeable personality, Verstappen is also known to respect raw talent.

Similarly, Lewis Hamilton — now driving for Ferrari — has warmly welcomed Antonelli into the Formula One fraternity and was visibly pleased to see him take his first Grand Prix victory in Shanghai.

Tributes flowed following the young Italian’s breakthrough win at the Chinese Grand Prix. One of the most interesting observations came from Hamilton’s former race engineer Peter Bonnington (Bono), now working with Antonelli at Mercedes.

When asked how the young Italian charger compared to the champions he had worked with in the past, Bonnington replied: "Like Michael and Lewis, he has that extra tenth."

And there it is again — that tiny margin that separates the very good from the truly great.

Formula One personnel are rarely prone to exaggerated praise, so Bonnington’s remark should be taken as a significant endorsement. It suggests that Antonelli possesses the same instinctive speed that defined champions like Michael Schumacher and Hamilton.

Mercedes team principal Toto Wolff and Antonelli’s father Marco have understandably been careful to play down suggestions that the young driver could challenge for the world championship this season. Protecting a prodigious talent from excessive expectation is both sensible and necessary.

Even so, it is increasingly difficult to ignore the possibility that Antonelli may soon find himself competing directly with Russell for supremacy within the team.

Race winner Andrea Kimi Antonelli of Italy and Mercedes AMG Petronas F1 Team and Third placed Lewis Hamilton of Great Britain and Scuderia Ferrari on the podium during the F1 Grand Prix of China at Shanghai International Circuit on March 15, 2026 in Shanghai, China.
Kimi Antonelli and Lewis Hamilton

There is also a wider historical context. Italy, despite its enormous influence on the sport through Ferrari, has not produced as many Formula One race winners as you would imagine.

The last Italian to stand on the top step of the podium before Antonelli was Giancarlo Fisichella, (once of Jordan Grand Prix) who took his final victory in a Renault nearly two decades ago.

Fisichella, incidentally, was himself a driver blessed with natural speed. His three Grand Prix victories place him fifth on the list of Italian race winners.

The benchmark remains the great Alberto Ascari, whose thirteen wins and two world championships still make him Italy’s most successful Formula One driver.

Which brings us to a prediction that may not be quite as bold as it first appears.

If Antonelli continues on his current trajectory, there is every reason to believe he could eventually surpass Ascari’s record. He needs 14 victories to do it - and if the 2026 Mercedes proves to be the formidable machine many expect, the young Italian may begin closing that gap sooner rather than later.

For now, the Formula One world is watching the emergence of a remarkable talent.

And if history tells us anything about drivers who possess that elusive "extra tenth", this may only be the beginning.

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