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Chevron's upstream strength lifts first-quarter earnings past estimate

a Chevron gas station in the US with the company log and signage
Elevated oil prices linked to the US-Israeli war on Iran helped boost results from Chevron's upstream business

Chevron exceeded Wall Street estimates for its first-quarter earnings today, as elevated oil prices linked to the US-Israeli war on Iran helped boost results from its upstream business.

The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.41 per share, well above the consensus estimate of 95 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Despite the strong beat, overall profit marked its lowest level in five years, partly due to unfavourable timing effects tied to financial derivatives.

Chevron's upstream segment, its largest business unit, generated $3.9 billion in earnings, up 4% year-on-year as higher oil prices led to increased revenue.

"Despite heightened geopolitical volatility and related supply disruptions, Chevron delivered solid first-quarter performance, underscoring the resilience of our portfolio and the value of disciplined execution," CEO Mike Wirth said in a statement.

The conflict with Iran, which began on February 28, significantly disrupted global energy markets. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was nearly halted, tightening supply and pushing oil prices up as much as 50% during the reported quarter.

Net income for the January-March period totaled $2.2 billion, down from $3.5 billion a year earlier. However, Chevron's exposure to the Middle East turmoil remains limited, accounting for less than 5% of its total production.

In contrast, downstream operations swung to a loss of $817m, from a profit of $325m last year. This decline was largely due to accounting mismatches from derivative-related timing effects, which are expected to start reversing in the next quarter.

Larger rival Exxon also disclosed a similar hit from timing effects.

Chevron anticipates that paper positions worth about $1 billion will close and result in profit in the second quarter, Chief Financial Officer Eimear Bonner said in an interview.

Excluding timing effects that are typical in a volatile environment, she said Chevron's underlying business was strong.

"We can see cash flow growing, we can see earnings growing, and all our plans are on track."

Limited Middle East exposure

Chevron has lower production exposure to the Middle East compared with its peers. Production in the US remained robust, exceeding 2 million barrels per day for the third consecutive quarter, the company said.

Signage at a Chevron gas station in San Mateo, California, US, Jan. 29, 2026

First-quarter volumes declined slightly to 3.86 million barrels of oil equivalent per day compared with the previous three months due to downtime at the Tengiz field in Kazakhstan after a fire.

Free cash flow also swung to a negative $1.5 billion due to lower operating cash flow. On an adjusted basis excluding impacts to working capital, the metric was still down from the year-ago quarter.

Bonner reaffirmed the company's target of achieving at least 10% annual growth in adjusted free cash flow through 2030.

During the quarter, Chevron paid $3.5 billion in dividends and repurchased $2.5 billion worth of shares.

The buyback figure was lower than the previous quarter, though Bonner said the company continues to target full-year buybacks between $10 billion to $20 billion.

The company said that capital expenditure in the first three months of 2026 was higher than last year, partly due to investments tied to its Hess acquisition, although this was offset by reduced spending in the Permian Basin.