skip to main content

UK borrowing jumped in February before Iran war risks to budget

sample caption
UK public sector net borrowing was £14.3 billion in February, official figures show today

The UK government borrowed a lot more than expected in February, in part due to the erratic timing of debt interest payments, before the shock of the Iran war pushed up borrowing costs and led to calls for more public spending.

Public sector net borrowing was £14.3 billion in February, official figures showed today.

Economists polled by Reuters had a median forecast of an £8.5 billion deficit for the month.

The Office for National Statistics cited the timing of debt interest payments as a factor behind the 18% increase in borrowing compared with February 2025.

The ONS revised higher its estimate for January's record surplus to £31.9 billion from £30.3 billion previously but the data underscored the broader picture of vulnerable public finances,under strain on various fronts.

The US-Israeli war on Iran and the ensuing surge in energy prices have sent British government borrowing costs soaring.

Britain's heavy reliance on imported natural gas and stubbornly higher inflation have driven a sharper selloff in its government bonds than that seen among international peers.

Finance minister Rachel Reeves, whose budget plans were already facing tight constraints, is facing new demands to support consumers who will face higher bills and motor fuel costs later this year.

"The pressure on the government - from both within the Labour Party itself and the public - to cushion the blow to households from higher energy costs will be great," said Elliott Jordan-Doak, senior UK economist at consultancy Pantheon Macroeconomics.

"The chancellor (Reeves) will again have to make difficult decisions in the autumn budget unless hostilities (in the Gulf) end quickly and energy prices subside," he added.

Short-dated British gilts - an important source of funding for the government - suffered one of their worst days since modern records began yesterday after some Bank of England officials warned of possible interest rate rises, compounding a sharp selloff after Iran's attacks on energy infrastructure.

The UK government recorded £13 billion of debt interest payments in February, up from £7.5 billion a year earlier due largely to the different timing of interest payable, the ONS said.

With only one more month of the 2025/26 financial year to go, borrowing stands at £125.9 billion, about 12% lower than in the same period of 2024/25.

The Office for Budget Responsibility last month forecast borrowing of £132.7 billion, or 4.3% of economic output, over the 12 months.

That is expected to fall to £115.5 billion in the next financial year, or 3.6% of economic output.