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ASOS expects profit at low end of guidance as overhaul falters

ASOS said its fourth quarter sales decline was in line with guidance
ASOS said its fourth quarter sales decline was in line with guidance

British online fashion retailer ASOS has today reported a 15% fall in fourth quarter sales and forecast earnings around the bottom of its guided range but said it was making progress with its turnaround plan.

The group, led by CEO José Antonio Ramos Calamonte, announced an overhaul of its business model last October after the economic downturn and operational problems hammered its profits and its shares.

Already down by 38% over the last year, ASOS shares fell another 1% in early trading today.

Rivals Primark/Penneys, Next and JD Sports Fashion have all reported positive updates this month, while official data showed UK retail sales rose in August.

Ramos Calamonte's strategy is to prioritise profit over top-line growth by reducing the amount of stock ASOS carries, cutting costs and improving its cash position.

ASOS said the fourth quarter sales decline was in line with guidance, with a stronger start to the period followed by a weaker performance in July and August.

But its second half adjusted gross margin fell 50 basis points short of its guidance of a 200 basis points improvement as it increased promotions.

Consequently second half earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) were expected to be towards the bottom of the previously guided £40-60m range with free cash inflow £90m below expectations, due to what it said were timing effects that would soon reverse.

"We have reduced our stock balance by circa 30%, significantly improved the core profitability of the business and generated cash against a very challenging market backdrop," Ramos Calamonte said.

Prior to the update, analysts on average forecast a full year to September 3 adjusted loss before interest and tax of £24m compared to earnings of £44.1m in 2021/22.

ASOS's fourth quarter sales were down 16% in the UK, down 7% in the European Union and down 19% in the US.

Mike Ashley's Frasers Group has built an 18.3% stake in ASOS.