Deere & Co today breezed past Wall Street estimates for third-quarter profit and raised its annual net income outlook on strong demand for large tractors, combines and precision agriculture equipment.
With supply-chain bottlenecks clearing up, the industrial giant boosted output capacity to reduce its production backlog.
However, analysts' suggest that mounting dealer inventories are diminishing investor optimism about sales growth for next year.
"Our experts caution that as supply chains normalize and high-demand continues, manufacturers like Deere could overproduce and have larger than expected inventories if a down-cycle materialises in 2024," Third Bridge analyst, Ryan Keeney said in a research note.
The world's largest farm equipment maker now expects 2023 net income between $9.75 billion and $10 billion, compared with its previous outlook of $9.25 billion to $9.5 billion, after posting a 60% rise in quarterly profit.
Deere, a barometer for the global economy, has maintained resilient operating profit margins despite volatility in markets worldwide.
Demand from farmers looking for new equipment and parts to repair aging machinery are bolstering the company's sales.
Executives have reiterated that order books are still robust heading into next year.
"Fundamentals are expected to continue fueling solid demand for our equipment, supported by a strong advance-order position," Deere CEO John May said in a statement.
Robust demand for its construction equipment has also propped up margins as the US upgrades roads, railways and other transportation infrastructure under the Joe Biden administration's $1 trillion package approved by the Senate in 2021.
Construction and forestry equipment sales increased 14% from the previous year.
Deere has leveraged price increases across its equipment lines to counter higher material and logistics costs. On average, prices across its equipment segment are up 10.5%.
The machinery-maker has benefited as farmers adopt high-tech precision agriculture products to lower the application costs of fertilisers and pesticides.
Net income rose to $2.98 billion for the quarter ended July 31. Earnings per share came in at $10.20, outpacing analysts' forecast of $8.20, according to Refinitiv data.
Sales from equipment operations rose about to $14.28 billion compared to $13 billion a year ago.
The company said its worldwide net sales and revenue rose 12% to $15.80 billion.
