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War, inflation drag German consumer sentiment lower

The GfK institute said its consumer sentiment index fell to -15.5 points heading into April from a revised -8.5 points a month earlier
The GfK institute said its consumer sentiment index fell to -15.5 points heading into April from a revised -8.5 points a month earlier

German consumer morale looks set to slump heading into April as the war in Ukraine pushed households' economic and income expectations to new record lows since the 2009 financial crisis, a survey showed today.

The GfK institute said its consumer sentiment index, based on a survey of around 2,000 Germans, tumbled to -15.5 points heading into April from a revised -8.5 points a month earlier, the lowest since February 2021.

Analysts polled by Reuters had on average expected the index to drop to -14.

"In February, hopes were still high that consumer sentiment would recover with the easing of pandemic-related restrictions. However, the war in Ukraine caused these hopes to vanish into thin air," GfK consumer expert Rolf Buerkl said in a statement.

Energy prices have suffered the most from rising uncertainty and sanctions against Russia, Buerkl said.

He adding that the longer-term recovery of German consumer morale would only be possible in case of a rapid ceasefire followed by peace negotiations.

"Domestic economy would then significantly contribute to overall economic development again as a result of declining uncertainty, and the easing of pandemic-related restrictions would also be able to have its positive effect," he said.

The survey took place from March 3 to March 14, after Russian President Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine on February 24 and started the largest war in Europe since World War Two.