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Premier Foods sees profit at top end of market estimates from virus stockpiling

The coronavirus pandemic fuelled a short-term peak in Premier Foods' volumes in March
The coronavirus pandemic fuelled a short-term peak in Premier Foods' volumes in March

Mr Kipling cakes maker Premier Foods has today forecast annual trading profit at the top end of market expectations after consumers stocked up on food at the start of the coronavirus lockdown.

The news lifted the company's shares by more than 20%. 

The company also ended a more than year-long business review instigated after a failed 2016 takeover bid from US food group McCormick put it under pressure and led to the ousting of former CEO Gavin Darby.  

The company reported a short-term peak in volumes in March, sending its shares up 22% this afternoon, on track for their best day in more than four years. 

The announcements bode well for chief executive Alex Whitehouse, who took the helm last year and has been credited with turning around Premier's UK business. 

The maker of Bisto gravy and OXO cubes said that volumes have started to reduce from the levels in March but are still expected to exceed usual demand. 

"This reflects more meals being eaten at home than usual due to recent measures set out and hence increased demand for the group's product ranges," the company said. 

Total grocery sales in the UK leapt more than a fifth to a record £10.8 billion in the four weeks to March 22 as Britons stocked up on everything from pasta to pet food ahead of a nationwide lockdown to contain the coronavirus outbreak. 

Premier Foods' sales in its financial fourth-quarter to March 28 are expected to have grown about 3.6% year on year, with a 10.5% jump in March, it added. 

The company also said it has agreed to a segregated merger of its pensions schemes that would help to save £4m annually from its 2020 financial year, adding that it is moving closer to a scheme buyout by a specialist insurer.

Peel Hunt analysts said that Premier will now be in a position to pay dividends. 

The net value of pension deficit contributions could reduce by about 45% to a range of £175-185m, the company said.