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Toyota posts nine-month profit gain, upgrades forecast

Toytoa is closely watching the impact of the new coronavirus in China, where the firm has suspended operations at more than 10 plants
Toytoa is closely watching the impact of the new coronavirus in China, where the firm has suspended operations at more than 10 plants

Japanese car giant Toyota has reported a surge in net profit on record sales for the nine months to December, and upgraded its full-year profit forecasts. 

But the maker of the Prius hybrid warned it was closely watching the impact of the new coronavirus in China, where the firm has suspended operations at more than 10 plants. 

Toyota said net profit for the nine months from April to December surged 41.4% year-on-year to 2 trillion yen ($18 billion) with sales up 1.6% at 22.8 trillion yen, the highest ever for the period. 

The profit jump was mainly due to strong revenue, cost-cutting efforts and gains in shares it holds. 

By region, sales in North America - its cash cow - as well as Japan and Europe increased for the nine months but those in Asia declined. 

The company revised upward its full-year profit forecast, now projecting a net profit of 2.35 trillion yen for the fiscal year to March, compared with its earlier estimate of 2.15 trillion yen, thanks to foreign exchange gains. 

Operating profit is now forecast at 2.5 trillion yen, up from 2.4 trillion yen estimated earlier, while its sales outlook remained unchanged at 29.5 trillion yen. 

At a news conference, Toyota's operating officer Masayoshi Shirayanagi said the company was "paying close attention" to the impact of the outbreak, warning its latest forecast revision did not take the spreading virus into account. 

Executive vice president Didier Leroy also said: "The impact of this new additional problem is really unclear at this stage." 

Toyota has decided to keep its 12 plants in China closed until at least Sunday over the virus, and any decision to extend the closure beyond that will be made after "assessing the situation", a company spokeswoman said.
 

"The coronavirus outbreak represents a material downside risk to our scenario for a mild recovery of the Chinese auto market in 2020," said S&P Global Ratings credit analyst Vittoria Ferraris. 

"We estimate the current two-week production shutdown imposed in the Chinese province of Hubei will knock two percent to four percent off total annual production in the region." 

China may further extend shutdowns beyond Hubei to limit contagion risk, possibly affecting up to one-half of China's auto and auto-parts production, she added. 

Other analysts also warned that the outbreak could be "a potentially serious factor" for Toyota. 

"It can affect not only their production in China but also customer sentiment," they said, adding that other uncertain factors were the US-China trade dispute, the fragile Middle East situation and volatile oil prices.