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UK inflation holds below Bank of England target before rates meeting

UK consumer prices rose at an annual rate of 1.5% for a second month in a row in November, new ONS figures show
UK consumer prices rose at an annual rate of 1.5% for a second month in a row in November, new ONS figures show

UK inflation remained at a three-year low in November, comfortably below the Bank of England's 2% target before its next interest rate announcement tomorrow, official data showed. 

UK consumer prices rose at an annual rate of 1.5% for a second month running in November, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said today.

The figure was a little stronger than the median expectation for a 1.4% increase in a Reuters poll of economists. 

The figures are unlikely to shift expectations that two of the Bank of England's nine monetary policy officials will again vote to cut rates this week, though political uncertainty in Britain has been reduced by the scale of Prime Minister Boris Johnson's victory in last week's election. 

The Bank of England said last month that inflation would probably fall to 1.25% in early 2020 because of caps on energy and water prices, but was likely to be back above its 2% target in about three years' time. 

The two officials who voted to cut rates at the November meeting cited signs of a cooling in Britain's labour market, and the Monetary Policy Committee as a whole sounded cautious about the outlook as the global economy slowed. 

The ONS said price rises for chocolate, concert tickets and package holidays were offset by falling hotel costs and a much smaller increase in cigarette prices compared with a year ago after a tax increase. 

A measure of core inflation, which excludes energy, fuel, alcohol and tobacco, held at 1.7% in November, as expected. 

The ONS figures also suggested less short-term pressure in the pipeline for consumer prices. 

The prices charged by British factories for their products rose 0.5% year-on-year in November, the smallest increase since July 2016. 

Separate data from the ONS showed house prices in October rose by an annual 0.7% across the UK, the smallest increase in more than seven years, after a 1.3% rise in September. 

Prices in London alone fell by 1.6%, the biggest drop since June.