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Italy tells EU no change to budget, but will keep eye on deficit

Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte says the country has no intention of abandoning the euro
Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte says the country has no intention of abandoning the euro

Italy told the European Commission today it would stick to its contested 2019 budget plans in defiance of EU fiscal rules.

But the country promised it would not inflate its deficit any further in the years ahead. 

In a letter to the Commission, Economy Minister Giovanni Tria said he recognised that the budget, which is set to hike next year's deficit to 2.4% of gross domestic product, was not in line with the EU Stability and Growth Pact. 

However, looking to silence growing alarm from EU allies, he said the government had to respond to years of anaemic growth in the euro zone's third largest economy. 

"The budget was a hard, but necessary decision in light of Italy's delay in catching up to pre-crisis levels of GDP and the desperate economic conditions in which the most disadvantaged citizens find themselves," Tria wrote. 

The European Commission sent Rome a warning letter about the budget last week - the first formal step of a procedure that could lead to Brussels rejecting the package and imposing fines. 

An EU spokesman said the Commission would decide on its next step tomorrow.

Underscoring the growing tensions, German Finance Minister Olaf Scholz said Italy had to be "careful" over its debt, while Austrian Chancellor Sebastian Kurz called on the EU Commission to reject the budget unless changes were made. 

Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte dismissed Kurz's criticism as "incautious".

He reiterated that Rome wanted to have "constructive dialogue" over the budget, which includes tax cuts, welfare hikes and a rolling back of tough pension reform. 

In a wide-ranging news conference, Conte also stressed that his government, which comprises the right-wing League and anti-establishment 5-Star Movement, had no intention of abandoning either the euro currency or the European Union. 

"Read my lips. There is no way Italy will leave the euro," Conte said. 

However, he added that the European Union was damaging itself by not meeting the needs of ordinary people.

Italy's economy is still some 6% smaller than it was at the start of 2008, hobbled by a slew of long-standing problems, including a national debt mountain at around 131% of GDP - the second highest in Europe after Greece. 

Conte predicted that growth would "take off" once government reforms were enacted. To help fund its expansionary programme, the Treasury sharply hiked the deficit goal from a targeted 1.8% this year. 

Concerns over the budget have weighed heavily on Italian government bonds in recent weeks, with the spread between German and Italian benchmark 10-year paper hitting five and a half year highs on Friday. 

However, Italian yields headed on Monday for their biggest daily drop since June after Moody's held off cutting the country's credit rating outlook to negative. 

Moody's downgraded Italy's rating to Baa3 - the lowest investment grade category - on Friday as expected. 

But investors had fretted it would also set the outlook at "negative" because of the budget proposals.