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Outlook bright for German factories despite November dip

Contracts for 'Made in Germany' goods were down 2.5% in November, new figures show
Contracts for 'Made in Germany' goods were down 2.5% in November, new figures show

German industrial orders fell more than expected in November after surging in the prior month, data showed today.

The new figures pointed to a busy final quarter overall for factories that the Economy Ministry expects to carry over into 2017.

Contracts for 'Made in Germany' goods were down 2.5% on the month, the ministry said. 

That was the biggest drop since November 2014 and slightly weaker than the consensus forecast of a fall of 2.3%. 

But revised figures showed orders had surged 5% in October, the biggest rise since July 2014. 

That meant that over the two months, bookings rose by 3.5%, with industrial orders from countries outside the euro zone jumping 6.4%. 

"These results together point to a very favourable development in the final quarter of the year," the ministry said in a statement. 

That suggested an upswing in the industrial sector that would carry into the first quarter of 2017.

In November alone, German domestic demand fell 2.8% while foreign orders decreased 2.3% with contracts from the euro zone down 2.7%. 

The German economy is widely expected to have rebounded in the fourth quarter after its quarterly growth rate halved to 0.2% in the third due to weaker exports.
 

For 2016 as a whole, Germany's government expects rising private consumption and increased state spending to have propelled growth in Europe's largest economy to 1.8%, which would be the strongest in five years. 

Underpinning this prediction, German retail sales rose by between 1.8% and 2.1% on the year in 2016 in real terms, the Federal Statistics Office said today. They had grown by 2.5% in 2015. 

Record-high employment, increased job security, rising real wages and ultra-low borrowing costs have boosted the spending power of Germans, making consumption the main driver of growth in a traditionally export-driven economy.