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UK retail sales suffer biggest fall in six months, but no EU Brexit reported

UK clothing stores suffered another poor month after unusually changeable weather in June
UK clothing stores suffered another poor month after unusually changeable weather in June

UK retail sales suffered their sharpest monthly fall in six months in June, new figures show today.

But officials cited poor weather hurting clothing sales rather than any impact from the vote to leave the European Union. 

Retailers had not reported any anecdotal evidence of the unexpected result of the June 23 referendum affecting sales during the five-week period which ended July 5, the Office for National Statistics said. 

While department stores got a boost from sales around the Euro 2016 soccer tournament and Queen Elizabeth's 90th birthday, clothing stores suffered another poor month after unusually changeable weather. 

Today's figures were the first official data which might potentially have shed light on how demand was affected by the referendum, after other measures painted a mixed picture of consumer demand. 

The Bank of England said yesterday that businesses it had spoken with had seen little change in spending patterns so far.

But a closely-watched survey by polling company GfK showed one of the sharpest falls in consumer morale in over 20 years. 

The ONS said that during the June period, sales volumes fell 0.9%, a bigger drop than economists' forecasts of a 0.6% dip, after rising by an above-average 0.9% in May. 

Compared with a year earlier, June sales growth slowed to 4.3% from a robust 5.7% in May, a bigger decline than the easing to 5% forecast. 

Looking at UK sales in the second quarter as a whole - which smooths out some volatility in the data - volumes were up 4.9% from a year ago compared with 4.1% growth in the first three months of 2016, the best since the first quarter of 2015. 

Consumer spending has been a major driver of Britain's economic expansion over the past three years, but economists polled by Reuters now see on average a 60% chance that the Brexit vote will tip the economy into recession. 

Britain's new government led by Prime Minister Theresa May has already dropped former finance minister George Osborne's goal of running a budget surplus by 2020 because of a likely slowdown in growth.

Official figures today showed that public borrowing in June fell to £7.8 billion from £10 billion a year earlier, a much bigger fall than the drop to £9.2 billion which economists had forecast. Borrowing for the three months to June was 8.3% lower than a year earlier. 

New finance minister Philip Hammond told parliament earlier this week that Britain needed a new framework to tackle its budget deficit, which he said was still "very large". 

Britain's budget deficit was around 4% of gross domestic product in the 12 months to March, down from more than 10% in 2010 but still among the highest of rich nations around the world.