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US jobless claims rise while Q3 productivity posts surprise gain

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 16,000 to a seasonally adjusted 276,000, new US figures show
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 16,000 to a seasonally adjusted 276,000, new US figures show

New US applications for unemployment benefits last week recorded their largest increase in eight months, but remained at levels consistent with a fairly healthy labour market. 

Other data from the US today showed a surprise gain in productivity in the third quarter after a drop in self-employment contributed to overall hours worked falling for the first time in six years.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 16,000 to a seasonally adjusted 276,000 for the week ended October 31, the Labor Department said. It was the largest weekly increase since late February. 

Claims had hovered near 42-year lows for much of October. The prior week's claims were unrevised.

Last week marked the 35th week in a row that claims were below the 300,000 threshold, which is normally associated with a strong jobs market. 

The four-week moving average of claims, considered a better measure of labour market trends as it strips out week-to-week volatility, rose 3,500 to 262,750 last week.

Last week's claims report has no bearing on the October employment report due for release tomorrow. New applications for jobless benefits were low last month relative to September. 

According to a Reuters survey of economists, non-farm payrolls increased 180,000 in October, well above the average gain of 139,000 jobs for August and September. The US unemployment rate is forecast at 5.1%. 

The claims report showed the number of people still receiving benefits after an initial week of aid increased 17,000 to 2.16 million in the week ended October 24. 

The four-week moving average of continuing claims fell 11,500 to 2.16 million, the lowest level since November 2000. The trend in continuing claims suggests more long-term unemployed are finding work.

In a second report, the Labor Department said productivity, which measures hourly output per worker, increased at a 1.6% annual rate after increasing at an upwardly revised 3.5% rate in the second quarter. 

Manufacturing productivity increased at its fastest pace in four years, led by the durable goods sector. 

Economists had expected productivity to fall at a 0.2% rate last quarter after expanding at a previously reported 3.3% pace in the second quarter. 

Despite the surprise rise in the third quarter, the trend in productivity remained weak. Productivity increased only 0.4% compared to the third quarter of 2014. 

Economists blame softer productivity on lack of investment, which they say has led to an unprecedented decline in capital intensity. 

While weak productivity has boosted employment growth as companies hired more workers to increase output, economists say it has contributed to stagnant wages and lowered the economy's speed limit. 

Economists say persistently anemic productivity could continue to limit wage growth even as the labour market approaches full employment. 

In the third quarter, hours worked declined at a 0.5% rate, the first decline since the third quarter of 2009. 

That reflected a drop in part-time employment as well as adjustments to hours for non-profit and government enterprise workers. 

Unit labour costs, the price of labour per single unit of output, increased at a 1.4% rate in the third quarter.

They had dropped at revised 1.8% rate in the second quarter, which was previously reported as a 1.4% pace of decline. Unit labour costs rose 2% compared to the third quarter of 2014.