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German business confidence stabilises in November - Ifo index

Germany's Ifo index rose to 104.7 points in November from 103.2 points in October
Germany's Ifo index rose to 104.7 points in November from 103.2 points in October

German business sentiment rebounded in November, breaking a streak of six declines in a row.

The rebound could be a sign that Europe's largest economy may be gaining some momentum again after narrowly avoiding a recession in the third quarter. 

The Ifo's business climate index, based on a monthly survey of some 7,000 firms, rose to 104.7 from 103.2 in the previous month, the Munich-based think tank said today. 

Economists polled by Reuters had predicted another decline to 103. 

"The downturn in the German economy has ground to a halt for the moment at least," said Ifo President Hans-Werner Sinn. 

The German economy has been hit by a slowdown in key euro zone trading partners and the West's confrontation with Moscow over Ukraine, which has unsettled businesses and led to a sharp drop in exports to Russia.

In the third quarter, the economy managed meagre growth of just 0.1%, narrowly dodging a recession after contracting by 0.1% in the second quarter.

But Ifo economist Klaus Wohlrabe said the decline in the euro to a two-year low against the dollar and falling oil prices were contributing to a more positive sentiment among German businesses. 

"It's too early to say whether we are seeing a change in the trend. This is a positive signal, but we need to wait until December to see if it continues," Wohlrabe said. 

Last week the ZEW think tank's measure of analyst and investor sentiment bounced back sharply, suggesting that the mood in Germany was improving. 

The November Ifo index showed improvements in the manufacturing, wholesaling and retail sectors, while construction weakened marginally.