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2008 'payback' for spending - Davy

A report from Davy Stockbrokers has predicted another year of 'exceptionally' strong economic growth next year, before a significant slowdown in 2008.

Economists Robbie Kelleher and Rossa White estimate that GDP and GNP grew by 5.5% and 6.5% this year, and say both should expand by 5% next year.

The economists have lifted their forecast for consumer spending growth next year to 7%, boosted by the release of some €10 billion from SSIA accounts and the recent Budget tax and spending measures. But they say the pace of growth in the building sector will slow to less than 0.5%, with house building falling from 92,000 this year to 87,000.

But the Davy report describes 2008 as 'payback time' for consumer spending, with a reversal of the SSIA effect and a fall in construction output. It predicts GNP growth of 3% for 2008.