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Who will win the 2026 Cannes Film Festival's top prize?

Top film festival prize at Cannes
The Palme d'Or is the highest prize awarded to the director of the Best Feature Film at the Cannes Film Festival

With Hollywood studios largely absent, this year's Cannes Film Festival leaned into its indie roots, with no clear Palme d'Or frontrunner emerging from a strong field of arthouse directors ahead of Saturday's closing ceremony.

The nine-member jury led by South Korean director Park Chan-wook must choose one of 22 films from Cannes veterans, including Spain's Pedro Almodovar, Iran's Asghar Farhadi and Romania's Cristian Mungiu, for the festival's top award.

Winning an award at Cannes typically transforms careers, shapes the awards season that follows and cements directors in the canon.

Palme d'Or trophy being made
An artisan adjustes a Palme d'Or on a crystal cushion previously drilled with precision

Recent examples include last year's second-place winner, Sentimental Value starring Renate Reinsve, which later took the Oscar for Best International Feature Film, as well as 2024 winner Anora, which went on to sweep the Oscars with five wins.

Race remains open

Several films have drawn strong early reactions from critics and audiences, though the race remains open.

The Guardian's critic, Peter Bradshaw, predicts Russian director Andrey Zvyagintsev's Minotaur about infidelity and moral corruption as the winner, while on prediction market platform Polymarket, care home drama All of a Sudden from Japan's Ryusuke Hamaguchi was in the lead on Friday evening.

On Screen Daily's jury grid, Minotaur, All of a Sudden, and Paweł Pawlikowski’s Fatherland have the three highest scores.

CANNES, FRANCE - MAY 20: (L-R) Boris Kudrin, Dmitriy Mazurov, Andrey Zvyagintsev, Iris Lebedeva, Varvara Shmykova and Yuriy Zavalnyouk pose during the "Minotaur" photocall at the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at Palais des Festivals on May 20, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Get
(L-R) Boris Kudrin, Dmitriy Mazurov, Andrey Zvyagintsev, Iris Lebedeva, Varvara Shmykova and Yuriy Zavalnyouk pose during the Minotaur photocall at the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival

Romanian director Mungiu, who brought the Reinsve-led Fjord to this year's festival, as well as Japan's Hirokazu Kore-eda are this year's only competitors who have previously won the top prize.

Only two US directors were in the competition dominated by European auteurs: James Gray with Paper Tiger starring Adam Driver, and Ira Sachs with the Rami Malek-headed The Man I Love.

CANNES, FRANCE - MAY 17: James Gray poses during the "Paper Tiger" photocall at the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at Palais des Festivals on May 17, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Pascal Le Segretain/Getty Images)
Director James Gray poses during the Paper Tiger photocall at the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival

Other prizes to be handed out on Saturday night include the Grand Prix, Jury Prize, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Actress and Best Screenplay.

The 79th outing of the festival officially kicked off on 12 May with the French romantic comedy The Electric Kiss.

Source: Reuters

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