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Poll of Polls: Downward trend for Fine Gael

Feb 17 2016

The impact of the latest poll on the Poll of Polls is modest, but the succession of recent polls has left Fine Gael now just under 28.5%, down from its peak of 31% last month.

This latest update incorporates The Sun/RED C poll released on 16 February, for which polling was carried out on 11-15 February but ended before the RTÉ leaders' debate.

This poll showed another two-point decline in support for Fine Gael, following the two-point decline in the previous RED C poll.

The impact of this on the Poll of Polls remains modest, but the succession of recent polls has left FG now just under 28.5%, down from its peak of 31% last month.

More importantly perhaps, with just ten days to go, the trend over the last months is now downwards.

Labour is still static around 8%, and Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin also show no sign of making headway: if anything, the reverse is true. The action seems to be elsewhere.

Previous Poll of Poll Updates

Initial Poll of Polls

19 January: No appreciable change

30 January: FG, Labour continue to rise

4 February: Has the rise in Fine Gael's fortunes been halted?

8 February: Poll of Polls suggests FG and Labour to fall just short

10 February: Slight gains for Fianna Fáil & Sinn Féin in latest Poll of Polls

13 February: Poll of Polls update: FF, SF neck and neck


By Michael Marsh, Emeritus Professor, Trinity College Dublin

Read more from Prof Marsh here